10 Thoughts/Predictions on the Oscars 2015Nate Lam The Oscars are tonight on ABC hosted by Neil Patrick Harris. Here are 10 thoughts/ predictions on the show The Oscars are tonight on ABC hosted by Neil Patrick Harris. Here are 10 thoughts/ predictions on the show that is 2 hours longer than it should be. Who Will Win? (I’ve indicated the ones I think are near 100% locks) Best Picture: Boyhood Best Director: Richard Linklater (Boyhood) Best Actor: Eddie Redmayne (Theory of Everything) Best Actress Julianne Moore (Still Alice) Best Supporting Actor: JK Simmons (Whiplash) (LOCK) Best Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette (Boyhood) Best Original Screenplay: Wes Anderson (Grand Budapest Hotel) Best Adapted Screenplay: Damien Chazelle (Whiplash) – (LOCK) Best Animated Film: Big Hero 6 Best Original Score: Alexandre Desplat (Grand Budapest Hotel) Best Original Song: Glory (Selma)-John Legend and Common (LOCK) Best Production Design: Grand Budapest Hotel Best Cinematography: Birdman Best Makeup/Hairstyling: Grand Budapest Hotel Best Costume Design: Grand Budapest Hotel (LOCK) Best Visual Effects: Interstellar 2. Who Should Win? (These are my picks on who I want to win not necessarily who will win) Best Picture: Birdman Best Director: Alejandro González Iñárritu (Birdman) Best Actor: Michael Keaton (Birdman) Best Actress: Marion Cotillard (Two Days, One Night), OR Reese Witherspoon (Wild) Best Supporting Actor: JK Simmons (Whiplash) (LOCK) Best Supporting Actress: Emma Stone (Birdman), OR Keira Knightley (Intimidation Game) Best Original Screenplay: Wes Anderson (Grand Budapest Hotel) Best Adapted Screenplay: Damien Chazelle (Whiplash) – (LOCK) Best Animated Film: Big Hero 6 Best Original Score: Jóhann Jóhannsson (Theory of Everything) Best Original Song: Glory (Selma)-John Legend and Common (LOCK) Best Production Design: Grand Budapest Hotel Best Cinematography: Birdman Best Makeup/Hairstyling: Grand Budapest Hotel Best Costume Design: Grand Budapest Hotel (LOCK) Best Visual Effects: Dawn of the Planet of the Apes 3. Integrity I appreciate the Oscars (and the Golden Globes) because they seem to be the last of the award shows that isn’t a popularity/ ratings contest (cough* Grammys/ Emmys cough*) 4. Boyhood is an overrated gimmickSee also4.5FilmMovie ReviewsMoviesReviewsReview: Phantom Thread is a Journey of Woven Beauty Bound By Intrigue and Opulence I’m sorry but it is. I think that taking 12 years to make something is great, that takes enormous commitment but ask yourself if this movie was made with different actors playing the characters in each of the time gaps would it be here? Remember Boyhood is not a documentary it is a scripted film that totally could’ve been done the other way. I don’t think the movie beyond the same actors gimmick is neither strong enough nor innovative enough to have garnered such high regard. Yes, the time gap approach with same actors is something new but I also have never seen anything quite like Inarritu’s continuous shot approach in Birdman and given that Birdman had in my opinion the better story/ acting it should get the nod over Boyhood 5. The “Mcconaissance” 2.0 If last year’s Dallas Buyers’ Club (with a little help from True Detective) helped ignite the Matthew McConaughey “mcconaissance” I hope this year we resurrect Ed Norton or Reese Witherspoon’s career. I have always felt that Norton is one of the criminally underrated actors out there. Between films like American History X, Fight Club and Rounders Norton has shown tremendous ability in the past it’s time for Hollywood to give him more roles. As for Witherspoon I think we have forgotten that she can act as evident in Election and Walk the Line. I hope Wild is the beginning of a turnaround for Witherspoon. 6. Support or Lead? J.K Simmons is going to run away with the supporting actor Oscar tonight for his work in Whiplash but the question is, is he really a supporting actor? Simmons appears in many of the film’s scenes and I consider him the star of the film (though Miles Teller is no slouch either). I think the academy needs to better define what constitutes a supporting actor and what is a leading actor. As of right now academy voters can choose to place someone in either category but to my understanding there is no firm guideline for who belongs where. Perhaps the threshold is at least 20% of the film but not more than 40% of the film’s runtime but the academy needs to clearly define what is supporting and what is leading. 7. The Box Office This year was the lowest grossing year in the modern era at the box office for films nominated under best picture. As a person living in a small city only four of the eight films saw wide releases in my local theatres. Gems like Birdman, Whiplash, Foxcatcher, Wild and Theory of Everything saw little to no release at all in my city. My plea is that the studios and theatres work harder next year to bring those who don’t live in the mega cities. 8. The Handicap Card I want to preface this by saying Redmayne was great as Hawking in Theory of Everything however I do not believe he is better than Keaton. It has always bothered why the academy seems to give extra credit to an actor for playing someone with disabilities. This is not to say that it is in anyway easy but the classic example is 1994 where Forrest Gump (a good movie in itself) won over Pulp Fiction and Shawshank Redemption (!!!). To be frank I thought Felicity Jones out acted Redmayne in this film and showed the struggles involved with caring for someone with special needs. I think Redmayne will take it today which is a shame because I honestly thought Keaton portrayed the dark side of celebrity extremely well (you could argue he has a mental illness throughout the film) in a film that offers a critique on current pop culture society that is both relevant and outstanding. 9. Big Birdman This is awesome. 10. Remember These Mean Nothing No matter who wins tonight remember Adrien Brody, Halle Berry, Whoppi Goldberg, Roberto Benigni and Mo’Nique all have Oscars. All of these people have gone on to do nothing or horrible work in general since their win. So basically none of this matters. However let’s have a toast to more great movies in 2015.